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Supermarkets and grocery stores have faced major volatility through the current period, forcing notable strategic operational and pricing shifts to compete with a widening array of substitutes and internal competitors. Grocers first encountered unprecedented demand as lockdowns redirected consumers' spending from entertainment to at-home essentials. Sales spiked, but the boom was fleeting. At the start of the period, factors like declining disposable income and soaring food prices reversed the early pandemic boom, with revenue plummeting both in 2021 and 2022. Consumers are embracing online grocery shopping, prompting traditional retailers to bolster their digital presence. Those unable or unwilling to adapt were largely forced out, while the largest supermarket chains maintained dominance through aggressive merger and acquisition activity, partially precipitating heightened revenue volatility. Overall, revenue has stagnated, faltering at an expected CAGR of 0.1% to $121.3 billion through the current period, including a 1.0% increase in 2026.
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IBISWorld's research coverage on the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada includes market sizing, forecasting, data and analysis from 2016-2031. The most recent publication was released February 2026.
The Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada operates under the NAICS industry code 44511CA. The Supermarkets and Grocery Stores industry comprises Canada's largest food retail channel. These establishments retail general lines of food products, including fresh and prepared meats, poultry and seafood, canned and frozen foods, fresh fruits and vegetables and various dairy products. This industry excludes convenience stores, warehouse clubs and supercentres. Related terms covered in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada include point-of-sale (pos) system , radio-frequency identification (rfid) , electronic data interchange (edi) and electronic commerce.
Products and services covered in Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada include Dairy products and eggs , Fish and seafood and Meat.
Companies covered in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada include Loblaw Companies Limited, Empire Company Limited and Metro Inc.
The Performance chapter covers detailed analysis, datasets, detailed current performance, sources of volatility and an outlook with forecasts for the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada.
Questions answered in this chapter include what's driving current industry performance, what influences industry volatility, how do successful businesses overcome volatility, what's driving the industry outlook. This analysis is supported with data and statistics on industry revenues, costs, profits, businesses and employees.
The Products and Markets chapter covers detailed products and service segmentation and analysis of major markets for the for the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada.
Questions answered in this chapter include how are the industry's products and services performing, what are innovations in industry products and services, what products or services do successful businesses offer and what's influencing demand from the industry's markets. This includes data and statistics on industry revenues by product and service segmentation and major markets.
The Geographic Breakdown chapter covers detailed analysis and datasets on regional performance of the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada.
Questions answered in this chapter include where are industry businesses located and how do businesses use location to their advantage. This includes data and statistics on industry revenues by location.
The Competitive Forces chapter covers the concentration, barriers to entry and supplier and buyer profiles in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada. This includes data and statistics on industry market share concentration, barriers to entry, substitute products and buyer & supplier power.
Questions answered in this chapter include what impacts the industry's market share concentration, how do successful businesses handle concentration, what challenges do potential industry entrants face, how can potential entrants overcome barriers to entry, what are substitutes for industry services, how do successful businesses compete with substitutes and what power do buyers and suppliers have over the industry and how do successful businesses manage buyer & supplier power.
The Companies chapter covers Key Takeaways, Market Share and Companies in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada. This includes data and analysis on companies operating in the industry that hold a market share greater than 5%.
Questions answered in this chapter include what companies have a meaningful market share and how each company is performing.
The External Environment chapter covers Key Takeaways, External Drivers, Regulation & Policy and Assistance in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada. This includes data and statistics on factors impacting industry revenue such as economic indicators, regulation, policy and assistance programs.
Questions answered in this chapter include what demographic and macroeconomic factors impact the industry, what regulations impact the industry, what assistance is available to this industry.
The Financial Benchmarks chapter covers Key Takeaways, Cost Structure, Financial Ratios, Valuation Multiples and Key Ratios in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada. This includes financial data and statistics on industry performance including key cost inputs, profitability, key financial ratios and enterprise value multiples.
Questions answered in this chapter include what trends impact industry costs and how financial ratios have changed overtime.
The Industry Data chapter includes 10 years of historical data with 5 years of forecast data covering statistics like revenue, industry value add, establishments, enterprises, employment and wages in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada.
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The market size of the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada is $121.3bn in 2026.
There are 8,891 businesses in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada, which has grown at a CAGR of 1.8 % between 2021 and 2026.
The Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada is unlikely to be materially impacted by import tariffs with imports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.
The Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada is unlikely to be materially impacted by export tariffs with exports accounting for a low share of industry revenue.
The market size of the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada has been declining at a CAGR of 0.1 % between 2021 and 2026.
Over the next five years, the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada is expected to grow.
The biggest companies operating in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada are Loblaw Companies Limited, Empire Company Limited and Metro Inc.
Retailing a general line of food and Retailing health and beauty products are part of the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada.
The company holding the most market share in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada is Loblaw Companies Limited.
The level of competition is very high and increasing in the Supermarkets & Grocery Stores industry in Canada.