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Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

Matthew Buchko Matthew Buchko New York, United States Last Updated: February 2025 NAICS 45291

Revenue

$771.1bn

2025

$771.1bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xbn

Employees

2m

Businesses

25

Wages

$XX.Xbn

Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry analysis

Swings in the economy have a limited impact on warehouse clubs and supercenters because these retail establishments offer low-priced goods. When consumer sentiment is high, shoppers spend more time visiting industry retailers and buying extra items. Conversely, when consumer sentiment is low, warehouse clubs and superstores draw a larger pool of consumers as households seek to cut expenses by buying in bulk for the future. Many of these retailers have been able to attract and retain more business by offering memberships and reward programs that disincentivize consumers to visit the competition. Revenue for warehouse clubs and supercenters is expected to climb at a CAGR of 3.2% to $771.1 billion through the end of 2025, including growth of 2.8% in 2025 alone. In the same year, profit will account for 3.5% of revenue, a dip from 2020 because of strong competitive forces and inflation.

Trends and Insights

  • When the world price of crude oil drops, retailers are forced to drop gasoline prices. Lower gasoline prices result in slower revenue growth.
  • Warehouse clubs and supercenters have expanded their product portfolios to attract a larger customer base. Consumers increasingly value convenience, so appearing as a one-stop shop can be beneficial.
  • Population density highly affects the geographic placement of establishments. Superstores and warehouse clubs require a large amount of open space and opening a superstore in a densely populated metropolis is difficult.
  • Retailers compete primarily on price. The retail model that warehouse clubs and supercenters use encourages shoppers to buy in bulk to achieve cost savings through low price-per-use.

Access hundreds of data points and trends

  • Market estimates from 2015-2030
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2015-2030)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 3.2 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $771.1bn in 2025.

Trends and Insights

E-commerce is reshaping the retail landscape

  • The growing popularity of online shopping has significantly impacted warehouse clubs and supercenters. Consumers increasingly prefer the convenience of ordering online, leading these stores to enhance their digital presence. Warehouse clubs and supercenters have invested heavily in their e-commerce platforms, creating user-friendly websites and mobile apps to attract and retain customers. Many offer curbside pickup and same-day delivery options to compete with pure online retailers like Amazon.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US
Revenue (2015-2030)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2025-2030)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

E-commerce will continue to shape the industry

  • Online shopping penetration continues to climb, driven by consumer demand for convenience and quick delivery. The largest warehouse clubs and supercenters will continue to invest heavily in online platforms to capture a larger market share. Competitors must enhance their online shopping capabilities to retain and attract consumers. This will impact profitability and require infrastructure investments. The focus will be on expanding delivery and curbside pickup options.

Biggest companies in the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($m)
2025
Profit ($m)
2025
Profit Margin (%)
2025
474,475.4
18,223.7
3.8
186,755.8
6,477.4
3.5

To view the market share and analysis for all 2 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Food and beverages, Fuel and other and Home and appliances. Food and beverages is the largest segment of the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US.

Trends and Insights

Food and beverages form the largest product segment

  • The segment includes various snack foods, candy, alcoholic beverages, nonalcoholic beverages, meat, produce, dairy, frozen food, deli products and more at a discounted rate. The segment has increased because of expanding product portfolios and consumption levels.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

This industry includes large stores that primarily retail a general line of grocery products and merchandise items (e.g. apparel and appliances). Warehouse clubs offer customers a wide selection of goods, often in bulk and at discounted prices, in exchange for a membership fee paid by each customer. Supercenters are large discount department stores that also sell perishable groceries. However, unlike warehouse clubs, supercenters do not have membership requirements for customers.

What's included in this industry?

Retailing groceriesRetailing furnitureRetailing apparelRetailing appliancesRetailing digital and print mediaRetailing personal care productsRetailing automotive fuel (e.g. gasoline)

Companies

Walmart Inc.Costco Wholesale Corp

Purchase this report to view all 2 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

HOMOGENEOUS GOODSRADIO FREQUENCY IDENTIFICATION (RFID)MASS MERCHANDISERLARGE-FORMAT STORECOMPARABLE STORE SALESSTOCK KEEPING UNITS (SKUS)POINT OF SALE (POS)

Industry Code

NAICS 2017

NAICS 452311 - Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

When the world price of crude oil drops, retailers are forced to drop gasoline prices. Lower gasoline prices result in slower revenue growth.

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Employees, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Businesses, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Profit, including historical (2015-2025)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Warehouse clubs and supercenters have expanded their product portfolios to attract a larger customer base. Consumers increasingly value convenience, so appearing as a one-sto...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2025
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2025
  • Major market segmentation in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Population density highly affects the geographic placement of establishments. Superstores and warehouse clubs require a large amount of open space and opening a superstore in...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each state
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2025

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each state in 2025
  • Number and share of revenue each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of wages each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of employees in each state in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across North America, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Retailers compete primarily on price. The retail model that warehouse clubs and supercenters use encourages shoppers to buy in bulk to achieve cost savings through low price-...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2020-2025
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

Walmart has introduced Walmart+. Walmart+ provides members with unlimited free deliveries, fuel discounts and a more streamlined in-store shopping experience via the Scan & G...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2021 through 2025
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2025
  • Overview of Walmart Inc.'s performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of Costco Wholesale Corp's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Walmart Inc., and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Costco Wholesale Corp, and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Individual states cover regulations relevant to the retail industry in general. Congress and the state enact trade regulations to maintain a free and competitive economy.

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

The Warehouse Clubs and Supercenters industry leverages its large-scale operations to gain an advantage with foreign suppliers. This enables these retailers to import product...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Industry Multiples (2018-2023)
  • Industry Tax Structure (2018-2023)
  • Income Statement (2018-2023)
  • Balance Sheet (2018-2023)
  • Liquidity Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Coverage Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Leverage Ratios  (2018-2023)
  • Operating Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Employee (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Establishment (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Average Wage (2015-2030)
  • Wages/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • IVA/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Imports/Demand (2015-2030)
  • Exports/Revenue (2015-2030)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2015-2030)
  • IVA (2015-2030)
  • Establishments (2015-2030)
  • Enterprises (2015-2030)
  • Employment (2015-2030)
  • Exports (2015-2030)
  • Imports (2015-2030)
  • Wages (2015-2030)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry in United States in 2025?

The market size of the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry in United States is $771.1bn in 2025.

How many businesses are there in the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry in 2025?

There are 25 businesses in the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry in United States, which has grown at a CAGR of 6.8 % between 2020 and 2025.

Has the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry in United States grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry in United States has been growing at a CAGR of 3.2 % between 2020 and 2025.

What is the forecast growth of the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry in United States over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry in United States is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US market in United States?

The biggest companies operating in the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters market in United States are Walmart Inc. and Costco Wholesale Corp

What does the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US in United States include?

Retailing groceries and Retailing furniture are part of the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US in United States?

The company holding the most market share in United States is Walmart Inc..

How competitive is the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry in United States?

The level of competition is high and increasing in the Warehouse Clubs & Supercenters in the US industry in United States.

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IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

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Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in the US include: 

  • US Census Bureau
  • US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • US International Trade Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

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