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Rail Transportation in the US - Market Research Report (2015-2030)

Oliwier Samorajski Oliwier Samorajski New York, United States Last Updated: January 2025 NAICS 48211

Revenue

$103.0bn

2025

$103.0bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xbn

Employees

120k

Businesses

624

Wages

$XX.Xbn

Rail Transportation in the US industry analysis

The economic rollercoaster spurred volatility. The Fed's tightening cycle restricted consumer spending, dampening trade value and industrial production, which reduced freight volumes and exacerbated revenue fluctuations. Railroads largely focused on Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR), aiming for efficiency and margin expansion by operating longer trains. However, this approach led to leaner operations and workforce reductions, raising concerns among unions and the Surface Transportation Board (STB) about service consistency and long-term growth. Intermodal transportation took an increasingly important role, with many major railroads making investments in enhancing facilities and capacity. Revenue is expected to climb at a CAGR of 4.5% to $103.0 billion through the end of 2025, with growth of 1.1% in 2025 alone. The CAGR was elevated by a low revenue base in 2020.

Trends and Insights

  • The use of Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR) has led to leaner operations but also concerns about service consistency and employment levels. The Surface Transportation Board has criticized railroads for focusing on short-term profit at the expense of long-term growth.
  • Intermodal transportation is gaining popularity due to its efficiency in connecting logistics services without unloading containers. This streamlines the supply chain, allowing seamless cargo transfers from railways to last-mile delivery options like trucks.
  • The Southeast region benefits from intermodal terminals, facilitating efficient distribution for agricultural and manufacturing sectors. These terminals leverage Norfolk Southern's rail services to complement trucking, enhancing last-mile delivery capabilities and boosting regional logistics.
  • The merger between Kansas City Southern and a part of Canadian Pacific formed CPKC, enhancing its competitive edge in the US rail market. This union allows CPKC to utilize combined infrastructure and economies of scale to challenge industry leaders.

Access hundreds of data points and trends

  • Market estimates from 2015-2030
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2015-2030)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 4.5 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $103.0bn in 2025.

Trends and Insights

Trade activity and domestic production are continuing to benefit demand for rail transportation

  • Expanding economic activity and rising trade volume inherently boost freight transportation. Railroads remain the top freight distributor by weight, making them a vital part of the supply chain and closely tying their performance to broader economic activity. Tightened monetary policy pressured consumers at the end of the period. Subdued spending stifled the growth of the total trade value and industrial production, lowering the amount of freight transported.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Rail Transportation in the US
Revenue (2015-2030)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2025-2030)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

The adoption of technological advancements will support optimization efforts

  • Railroad companies that invested in more powerful, fuel-efficient locomotives amid low interest rates are expected to enjoy lower maintenance costs. As the new locomotives come into service, average running costs will drop. Railroads are expected to reinvest excess capital into services like intermodal transportation and new tracking software to bolster their compatibility with other modes of transport and improve their competitive standing against trucking establishments.

Biggest companies in the Rail Transportation in the US

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($m)
2025
Profit ($m)
2025
Profit Margin (%)
2025
Union Pacific Corp
25,179.1
10,347.6
41.1
Burlington Northern Santa Fe, Llc
22,973.1
7,150.8
31.1
Csx Corporation
14,961.9
5,614.2
37.5

To view the market share and analysis for all 4 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Rail Transportation in the US
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Bulk freight, Intermodal services and Passenger services. Bulk freight is the largest segment of the Rail Transportation in the US.

Trends and Insights

Rising commodity prices boosted the bulk freight segment

  • Bulk freight involves transporting large quantities of unpackaged commodities, either as liquids or dry goods. Surging commodity prices boosted the segment as biofuels, beverages, auto parts, industrial products and plastics offset the declines in domestic coal usage.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

The Rail Transportation industry comprises companies that operate railroads across the United States. This includes large railroads (Class 1 railroads) and regional and local line-haul railroads that carry freight and passengers. The industry does not include scenic and sightseeing rail transportation, street railroads, commuter rail or rapid transit.

What's included in this industry?

Operating line-haul railroadsOperating short line railroadsOperating intercity passenger trains

Companies

Union Pacific CorpBurlington Northern Santa Fe, LlcCsx Corporation

Purchase this report to view all 4 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

INTERMODAL TRANSPORTCLASS 1 RAILROADFUEL SURCHARGEROLLING STOCKLINE-HAUL RAILROADBULK FREIGHT

Industry Code

NAICS 2017

NAICS 48211 - Rail Transportation in the US

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

The use of Precision Scheduled Railroading (PSR) has led to leaner operations but also concerns about service consistency and employment levels. The Surface Transportation Bo...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Employees, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Businesses, including historical (2015-2024) and forecast (2025-2030)
  • Profit, including historical (2015-2025)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Intermodal transportation is gaining popularity due to its efficiency in connecting logistics services without unloading containers. This streamlines the supply chain, allowi...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2025
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2025
  • Major market segmentation in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

The Southeast region benefits from intermodal terminals, facilitating efficient distribution for agricultural and manufacturing sectors. These terminals leverage Norfolk Sout...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each state
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2025

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each state in 2025
  • Number and share of revenue each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of wages each state accounts for in 2025
  • Number and share of employees in each state in 2025

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across North America, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

The merger between Kansas City Southern and a part of Canadian Pacific formed CPKC, enhancing its competitive edge in the US rail market. This union allows CPKC to utilize co...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2020-2025
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

BNSF announced a $3.92 billion capital investment, allocating funding for core network maintenance and expansion projects. The investments aim to enhance operational efficien...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2021 through 2025
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2025
  • Overview of Union Pacific Corp's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of Burlington Northern Santa Fe, Llc's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of Csx Corporation's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2019 through 2025
  • Overview of revenue, market share and profit margin trend for one additional company

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Union Pacific Corp, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Burlington Northern Santa Fe, Llc, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Csx Corporation, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description, key data and performance trends for one additional company

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

The Surface Transportation Board oversees the economic regulation of railroads, including fuel surcharges. It ensures that charges correlate with actual costs and has jurisdi...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2015-2030) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Automation and PSR adoption are reducing wage costs in the railroad industry. By operating longer trains with fewer crew members and optimizing routes, companies can lower la...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2025
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Industry Multiples (2018-2023)
  • Industry Tax Structure (2018-2023)
  • Income Statement (2018-2023)
  • Balance Sheet (2018-2023)
  • Liquidity Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Coverage Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Leverage Ratios  (2018-2023)
  • Operating Ratios (2018-2023)
  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Employee (2015-2030)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Establishment (2015-2030)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • Average Wage (2015-2030)
  • Wages/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2015-2030)
  • IVA/Revenue (2015-2030)
  • Imports/Demand (2015-2030)
  • Exports/Revenue (2015-2030)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2015-2030)
  • IVA (2015-2030)
  • Establishments (2015-2030)
  • Enterprises (2015-2030)
  • Employment (2015-2030)
  • Exports (2015-2030)
  • Imports (2015-2030)
  • Wages (2015-2030)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Rail Transportation in the US industry in United States in 2025?

The market size of the Rail Transportation in the US industry in United States is $103.0bn in 2025.

How many businesses are there in the Rail Transportation in the US industry in 2025?

There are 624 businesses in the Rail Transportation in the US industry in United States, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.1 % between 2020 and 2025.

Has the Rail Transportation in the US industry in United States grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Rail Transportation in the US industry in United States has been growing at a CAGR of 4.5 % between 2020 and 2025.

What is the forecast growth of the Rail Transportation in the US industry in United States over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Rail Transportation in the US industry in United States is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Rail Transportation in the US market in United States?

The biggest companies operating in the Rail Transportation market in United States are Union Pacific Corp, Burlington Northern Santa Fe, Llc and Csx Corporation

What does the Rail Transportation in the US in United States include?

Operating line-haul railroads and Operating short line railroads are part of the Rail Transportation in the US industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Rail Transportation in the US in United States?

The company holding the most market share in United States is Union Pacific Corp.

How competitive is the Rail Transportation in the US industry in United States?

The level of competition is moderate and steady in the Rail Transportation in the US industry in United States.

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Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in the US include: 

  • US Census Bureau
  • US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • US International Trade Commission

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

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